Kilonova emission from GW230529 and mass gap neutron star-black hole mergers (2409.10651v1)

Abstract: The detection of the gravitational-wave event GW230529, presumably a neutron star-black hole (NSBH) merger, by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) Collaboration is an exciting discovery for multimessenger astronomy. The black hole (BH) has a high probability of falling within the ''mass gap'' between the peaks of the neutron star (NS) and the BH mass distributions. Because of the low primary mass, the binary is more likely to produce an electromagnetic counterpart than previously detected NSBH mergers. We investigate the possible kilonova (KN) emission from GW230529, and find that if it was an NSBH, there is a $\sim$ 2-41% probability (depending on the assumed equation of state) that GW230925 produced a KN with magnitude peaking at $\sim 1-2$ day post merger at $g \lesssim 23.5$, $i<23$. Hence, it could have been detected by ground-based telescopes. If it was a binary neutron star (BNS) merger, we find $\sim$ 0-12% probability that it produced a KN. Motivated by these numbers, we simulated a broader population of mgNSBH mergers that may be detected in O4, and we obtained a 9-21% chance of producing a KN, which would be detectable with $g\lesssim 25$ and $ i \lesssim 24$, typically fainter than what is expected from GW230529. Based on these findings, DECam-like instruments may be able to detect up to 80% of future mgNSBH KNe, thus up to $\sim1$ multimessenger mgNSBH per year may be discoverable at the current level of sensitivity (O4).