Stationary entrance chains and applications to random walks (2403.00619v2)

Abstract: For a Markov chain $Y$ with values in a Polish space, consider the entrance chain, obtained by sampling $Y$ at the moments when it enters a fixed set $A$ from its complement $A^c$. Similarly, consider the exit chain, obtained by sampling $Y$ at the exit times from $A^c$ to $A$. We use the method of inducing from ergodic theory to study invariant measures of these two types of Markov chains in the case when the initial chain $Y$ has a known invariant measure. We give explicit formulas for invariant measures of the entrance and exit chains under certain recurrence-type assumptions on $A$ and $A^c$, which apply even for transient chains. Then we study uniqueness and ergodicity of these invariant measures assuming that $Y$ is topologically recurrent, topologically irreducible, and weak Feller. We give applications to random walks in $R^d$, which we regard as ``stationary'' Markov chains started under the Lebesgue measure. We are mostly interested in dimension one, where we study the Markov chain of overshoots above the zero level of a random walk that oscillates between $-\infty$ and $+\infty$. We show that this chain is ergodic, and use this result to prove a central limit theorem for the number of level crossings of a random walk with zero mean and finite variance of increments.