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IID Sampling from Doubly Intractable Distributions (2112.07939v1)

Published 15 Dec 2021 in stat.CO and stat.ME

Abstract: Intractable posterior distributions of parameters with intractable normalizing constants depending upon the parameters are known as doubly intractable posterior distributions. The terminology itself indicates that obtaining Bayesian inference from such posteriors is doubly difficult compared to traditional intractable posteriors where the normalizing constants are tractable and admit traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) solutions. As can be anticipated, a plethora of MCMC-based methods have originated in the literature to deal with doubly intractable distributions. Yet, it remains very much unclear if any of the methods can satisfactorily sample from such posteriors, particularly in high-dimensional setups. In this article, we consider efficient Monte Carlo and importance sampling approximations of the intractable normalizing constant for a few values of the parameters, and Gaussian process interpolations for the remaining values of the parameters, using the approximations. We then incorporate this strategy within the exact iid sampling framework developed in Bhattacharya (2021a) and Bhattacharya (2021b), and illustrate the methodology with simulation experiments comprising a two-dimensional normal-gamma posterior, a two-dimensional Ising model posterior, a two-dimensional Strauss process posterior and a 100-dimensional autologistic model posterior. In each case we demonstrate great accuracy of our methodology, which is also computationally extremely efficient, often taking only a few minutes for generating 10, 000 iid realizations on 80 processors.

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