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A County-level Dataset for Informing the United States' Response to COVID-19 (2004.00756v2)

Published 1 Apr 2020 in cs.CY, cs.DB, physics.soc-ph, and q-bio.PE

Abstract: As the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) continues to be a global pandemic, policy makers have enacted and reversed non-pharmaceutical interventions with various levels of restrictions to limit its spread. Data driven approaches that analyze temporal characteristics of the pandemic and its dependence on regional conditions might supply information to support the implementation of mitigation and suppression strategies. To facilitate research in this direction on the example of the United States, we present a machine-readable dataset that aggregates relevant data from governmental, journalistic, and academic sources on the U.S. county level. In addition to county-level time-series data from the JHU CSSE COVID-19 Dashboard, our dataset contains more than 300 variables that summarize population estimates, demographics, ethnicity, housing, education, employment and income, climate, transit scores, and healthcare system-related metrics. Furthermore, we present aggregated out-of-home activity information for various points of interest for each county, including grocery stores and hospitals, summarizing data from SafeGraph and Google mobility reports. We compile information from IHME, state and county-level government, and newspapers for dates of the enactment and reversal of non-pharmaceutical interventions. By collecting these data, as well as providing tools to read them, we hope to accelerate research that investigates how the disease spreads and why spread may be different across regions. Our dataset and associated code are available at github.com/JieYingWu/COVID-19_US_County-level_Summaries.

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Authors (11)
  1. Benjamin D. Killeen (9 papers)
  2. Jie Ying Wu (25 papers)
  3. Kinjal Shah (6 papers)
  4. Anna Zapaishchykova (9 papers)
  5. Philipp Nikutta (1 paper)
  6. Aniruddha Tamhane (4 papers)
  7. Shreya Chakraborty (3 papers)
  8. Jinchi Wei (1 paper)
  9. Tiger Gao (1 paper)
  10. Mareike Thies (27 papers)
  11. Mathias Unberath (99 papers)
Citations (83)

Summary

Analyzing a County-level Dataset to Enhance COVID-19 Response in the United States

The paper "A County-level Dataset for Informing the United States' Response to COVID-19" presents a comprehensive dataset aimed at facilitating data-driven decision-making in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. This resource aggregates a wide array of data types over 300 variables per county in the United States, intended to assist researchers and policymakers in understanding regional pandemic dynamics and tailoring intervention strategies accordingly.

The dataset includes granular, county-level time-series data on COVID-19 infections and deaths sourced from the JHU CSSE COVID-19 Dashboard, combined with over 300 local socio-economic and healthcare metrics culled from diverse governmental, journalistic, and academic sources. Notably, it encompasses demographic variables (such as population estimates, ethnicity, housing, and education), healthcare system capacity (including ICU bed availability), socio-economic indicators (like employment and income), and mobility data derived from SafeGraph and Google mobility reports. Additionally, it chronicles the dates of implementation and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) at various levels of government.

Key Contributions and Findings

One of the primary contributions of this paper is the provision of a streamlined, machine-readable dataset that allows for the cross-referencing of COVID-19 case data with numerous county-specific attributes. This creates a pertinent tool for computational researchers, epidemiologists, and policymakers to examine the multitude of factors affecting the transmission of COVID-19 at a localized scale.

The paper highlights the problematic variability in the spread of COVID-19 observed across different counties, showing, for example, disparities between areas like Los Angeles County, which experienced significant spikes in cases after partial rollbacks of NPIs, and others such as the District of Columbia, which reported smaller increases post-intervention. This variation underscores the complex interplay between socio-economic, demographic, and policy factors.

The dataset acknowledges and accommodates the persistent dynamic changes in NPI policies across states and provides tools for analyzing the influence of those on mobility patterns and epidemiological outcomes. Specifically, an analysis of foot traffic data has revealed correlations between policy changes and public behavior, which is crucial for assessing compliance and pandemic control strategies.

Implications and Future Directions

The implications of this dataset are vast, offering a robust framework to identify and analyze factors that heavily influence pandemic spread and effectiveness of policy measures. The granular nature of the county-level data may enable advanced machine learning techniques to uncover nuanced patterns and predictive trends, aiding T in formulating more nuanced, region-specific public health strategies.

Practically, the dataset offers policy decision-makers context-rich data to evaluate the social and economic impacts of interventions like lockdowns and their respective rollback processes, thus aligning public health objectives with economic and societal imperatives. The resource effectively supports a path toward more targeted and adaptable pandemic responses, potentially enhancing the efficacy of future public health strategies.

In future research directions, this dataset presents extensive opportunities for multidisciplinary collaboration to further leverage data analytics and artificial intelligence in pandemic planning. As regions continue to navigate the balance between containment and economic viability, a finer understanding of the relationships unearthed by this dataset could be pivotal in structuring policies that are both decisive and informed.

In conclusion, the dataset presented in this paper is a significant step towards enriching the analytical toolkit available for COVID-19 research, offering a comprehensive foundation to examine the interplay of numerous variables on pandemic dynamics. This resource's continuous evolution and refinement are imperative for proactive and methodical public health responses in the face of ongoing and future pandemic challenges.