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Volatility estimation in fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck models (1802.09589v1)

Published 26 Feb 2018 in math.PR

Abstract: In this article we study the asymptotic behaviour of the realized quadratic variation of a process $\int_{0}{t}u_{s}dY_{s}{(1)}$% , where $u$ is a $\beta$-H\"older continuous process with $\beta > 1-H$ and $Y_{t}{(1)}=\int_{0}{t}e{-s}dB{H}_{a_s}$, where $a_{t}=He{\frac{t% }{H}} $ and $BH$ is a fractional Brownian motion, is connected to the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind. We prove almost sure convergence uniformly in time, and a stable weak convergence for the realized quadratic variation. As an application, we construct strongly consistent estimator for the integrated volatility parameter in a model driven by $Y{(1)}$.

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