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Edward: A library for probabilistic modeling, inference, and criticism (1610.09787v3)

Published 31 Oct 2016 in stat.CO, cs.AI, cs.PL, stat.AP, and stat.ML

Abstract: Probabilistic modeling is a powerful approach for analyzing empirical information. We describe Edward, a library for probabilistic modeling. Edward's design reflects an iterative process pioneered by George Box: build a model of a phenomenon, make inferences about the model given data, and criticize the model's fit to the data. Edward supports a broad class of probabilistic models, efficient algorithms for inference, and many techniques for model criticism. The library builds on top of TensorFlow to support distributed training and hardware such as GPUs. Edward enables the development of complex probabilistic models and their algorithms at a massive scale.

Citations (296)

Summary

  • The paper introduces an iterative, scalable framework that integrates model formulation, diverse inference techniques, and systematic criticism.
  • Edward leverages TensorFlow, distributed computing, and GPU acceleration to efficiently execute advanced inference algorithms like Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and black-box variational inference.
  • The paper emphasizes robust model evaluation using both point-based assessments and posterior predictive checks to iteratively refine model fit.

An Overview of "Edward: A Library for Probabilistic Modeling, Inference, and Criticism"

The paper "Edward: A library for probabilistic modeling, inference, and criticism," authored by Dustin Tran et al., presents a comprehensive framework for developing and applying probabilistic models at scale. Edward is an open-source library designed to facilitate machine learning research by enabling quick experimentation with probabilistic models. Built on TensorFlow, Edward leverages distributed computing and GPU acceleration, making it suitable for handling large-scale data and complex model architectures.

Probabilistic Modeling and Inference

Edward addresses the iterative process of probabilistic modeling, starting with model formulation, followed by inference, and ending with model criticism. This iterative cycle is inspired by George Box's philosophy of model refinement through repeated testing and evaluation. The flexibility of Edward in supporting a wide array of probabilistic models is one of its key strengths. It encompasses directed graphical models, stochastic neural networks, and probabilistic programs that incorporate stochastic control flow.

The library provides a rich suite of inference algorithms, including black-box variational inference, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, and stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics. This broad selection allows researchers to tailor inference to the specific needs of their models and data. Additionally, Edward's architecture is designed to facilitate the creation of custom inference algorithms, encouraging continuous exploration and development of new methodologies in probabilistic inference.

Criticism and Evaluation

Model criticism forms an integral part of probabilistic modeling in Edward. The library implements tools for both point-based evaluations and posterior predictive checks (PPCs). These mechanisms enable the assessment of model fit, guiding model revisions and improvements. By allowing the examination of the model's output compared to empirical data, Edward offers a structured approach to validate the assumptions and outcomes of probabilistic models.

Practical Implications and Future Prospects

Edward's integration with TensorFlow is a strategy to harness the computational efficiency of modern hardware, ensuring scalability even at significant data volumes and model complexities. This positions Edward as a powerful resource for both academic researchers and industry practitioners who demand robust probabilistic modeling capabilities and the computational power to back it.

Future advancements in Edward are likely to focus on enhancing support for more sophisticated probabilistic programs and expanding the library’s machine learning capabilities. As probabilistic models grow in complexity, so will the need for scalable and flexible libraries like Edward, capable of simplifying the development process while maintaining computational efficiency.

Conclusion

The paper effectively frames Edward as a versatile tool for probabilistic modeling in the landscape of modern machine learning. Its emphasis on an iterative modeling process, broad inference capabilities, and robust criticism mechanisms reflects a mature understanding of the requirements for scalable and adaptive probabilistic systems. As the field progresses, tools like Edward, which foster innovation through flexibility and efficiency, will play an increasingly central role in advancing the frontiers of probabilistic machine learning.