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Stochastic blockmodels with growing number of classes (1011.4644v2)

Published 21 Nov 2010 in math.ST, cs.SI, stat.ME, stat.ML, and stat.TH

Abstract: We present asymptotic and finite-sample results on the use of stochastic blockmodels for the analysis of network data. We show that the fraction of misclassified network nodes converges in probability to zero under maximum likelihood fitting when the number of classes is allowed to grow as the root of the network size and the average network degree grows at least poly-logarithmically in this size. We also establish finite-sample confidence bounds on maximum-likelihood blockmodel parameter estimates from data comprising independent Bernoulli random variates; these results hold uniformly over class assignment. We provide simulations verifying the conditions sufficient for our results, and conclude by fitting a logit parameterization of a stochastic blockmodel with covariates to a network data example comprising a collection of Facebook profiles, resulting in block estimates that reveal residual structure.

Citations (258)

Summary

  • The paper demonstrates that the misclassification rate converges to zero under maximum likelihood estimation for stochastic blockmodels where the number of classes grows with the network size, assuming sufficient average degree.
  • Finite-sample confidence bounds are established for blockmodel parameter estimates in Bernoulli SBMs, providing theoretical guarantees for model fitting procedures.
  • Applying the model to a Facebook network illustrates its practical utility in uncovering latent structures beyond known covariates, pointing towards applications in real-world complex networks.

Analysis of Stochastic Blockmodels with Increasing Classes

The paper presents a detailed exploration of stochastic blockmodels (SBMs), focusing on scenarios where the number of classes grows with the size of the network. The research is poised within the context of social, biological, and informational networks, emphasizing their intricate and evolving global structures as products of local interactions. The use of SBMs in network data analysis, particularly when dealing with a growing number of classes, forms the cornerstone of this paper.

Theoretical Contributions

  1. Convergence of Misclassification Rate: The authors demonstrate that under maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for correctly specified SBM with KK growing as the root of the network size NN, the fraction of misclassified nodes converges to zero in probability. Furthermore, the result assumes the average network degree grows at least poly-logarithmically.
  2. Finite-Sample Confidence Bounds: Another significant contribution is the establishment of finite-sample confidence bounds for the MLE of blockmodel parameters, specifically in contexts involving independent Bernoulli trials. These bounds hold uniformly over all class assignments, a crucial aspect for proving robustness in fitting procedures.
  3. Binding of Model Parameters: Through a series of theoretical guarantees (Theorems 1-3), the research provides comprehensive error bounds and asymptotic properties of parameter estimates as network size and complexity increase.

Empirical Insights

Simulations accompany the theoretical results, validating the sufficient conditions outlined for successful model fitting when both KK and the average degree M/NM/N grow suitably. These simulations encompass a variety of settings, offering a deeper understanding of how assumptions like poly-logarithmic growth in degree and growing class numbers impact model fidelity and node classification accuracy.

Practical Implications and Future Prospects

The findings from this research have practical implications, particularly in the field of social network analysis. By applying the proposed model to real-world data—namely, a Facebook network of undergraduate profiles—the authors illustrate how SBM can uncover latent structures beyond clearly defined covariates. This application underscores the utility of SBMs in revealing residual structures in complex networks.

The work lays fertile ground for further exploration, especially in considering network data's generative processes. Future research can delve into refining the identifiability conditions and robustness of scaling laws, potentially extending applicability to even larger network contexts. Also, the paper hints at opportunities for improved algorithmic approaches to enhance the computational feasibility of MLE in large-scale network analysis.

Conclusion

This paper offers a rigorous and statistically robust examination of SBMs, extending the understanding of network data modeling under increasing complexity. It provides an essential framework for both theoretical advancements and their practical implications, reinforcing the relevance of stochastic blockmodels in analyzing intricate network structures. This contribution is instrumental for researchers aiming to navigate the complexities of dynamic and growing networks, leveraging a sound statistical foundation.