Machine Learning-Based Estimation of Superdroplet Growth Rates Using DNS Data (2410.13890v1)

Abstract: Droplet growth and size spectra play a crucial role in the microphysics of atmospheric clouds. However, it is challenging to represent droplet growth rate accurately in cloud-resolving models such as Large Eddy Simulations (LESs). The assumption of "well-mixed" condition within each grid cell, often made by traditional LES solvers, typically falls short near the edges of clouds, where sharp gradients in water vapor supersaturation occur. This under-resolution of supersaturation gradients can lead to significant errors in prediction of droplet growth rate, which in turn affects the prediction of buoyancy at cloud edges, as well as forecast of precipitation. In "superdroplet" based LES model, a Lagrangian coarse-graining approach groups multiple droplets into superdroplets, each encompassing a specific number and size of actual droplets. The superdroplets are advected by the underlying LES velocity field, and the growth rate of these superdroplets is based on the filtered supersaturation field represented by the LES. To overcome the limitations of the "well-mixed" assumption, we propose a parameterization for superdroplet growth using high-fidelity Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS) data. We introduce a novel clustering algorithm to map droplets in DNS fields to superdroplets. The effective supersaturation at each superdroplet location is computed by averaging the unfiltered supersaturation of the associated droplets, which may differ from the value of filtered supersaturation at the superdroplet location. We then develop a machine learning-based parameterization to relate the effective growth rate of superdroplets to other filtered DNS flow variables. Preliminary results show a promising $R^2$ value of nearly 0.9 between the predicted and true effective supersaturation values for the superdroplets, for a range of superdroplet multiplicities.