Navigating simplicity and complexity of social-ecological systems through a dialog between dynamical systems and agent-based models (2402.12086v2)

Abstract: Social-ecological systems research aims to understand the nature of social-ecological phenomena, to find ways to foster or manage conditions under which desired phenomena occur or to reduce the negative consequences of undesirable phenomena. Such challenges are often addressed using dynamical systems models (DSM) or agent-based models (ABM). Here we develop an iterative procedure for combining DSM and ABM to leverage their strengths and gain insights that surpass insights obtained by each approach separately. The procedure uses results of an ABM as inputs for a DSM development. In the following steps, results of the DSM analyses guide future analysis of the ABM and vice versa. This dialogue, more than having a tight connection between the models, enables pushing the research frontier, expanding the set of research questions and insights. We illustrate our method with the example of poverty traps and innovation in agricultural systems, but our conclusions are general and can be applied to other DSM-ABM combinations.