Quantum option pricing via the Karhunen-Loève expansion (2402.10132v1)

Abstract: We consider the problem of pricing discretely monitored Asian options over $T$ monitoring points where the underlying asset is modeled by a geometric Brownian motion. We provide two quantum algorithms with complexity poly-logarithmic in $T$ and polynomial in $1/\epsilon$, where $\epsilon$ is the additive approximation error. Our algorithms are obtained respectively by using an $O(\log T)$-qubit semi-digital quantum encoding of the Brownian motion that allows for exponentiation of the stochastic process and by analyzing classical Monte Carlo algorithms inspired by the semi-digital encodings. The best quantum algorithm obtained using this approach has complexity $\widetilde{O}(1/\epsilon^{3})$ where the $\widetilde{O}$ suppresses factors poly-logarithmic in $T$ and $1/\epsilon$. The methods proposed in this work generalize to pricing options where the underlying asset price is modeled by a smooth function of a sub-Gaussian process and the payoff is dependent on the weighted time-average of the underlying asset price.