Identification of Nonlinear Dynamic Panels under Partial Stationarity (2401.00264v3)
Abstract: This paper studies identification for a wide range of nonlinear panel data models, including binary choice, ordered response, and other types of limited dependent variable models. Our approach accommodates dynamic models with any number of lagged dependent variables as well as other types of (potentially contemporary) endogeneity. Our identification strategy relies on a partial stationarity condition, which not only allows for an unknown distribution of errors but also for temporal dependencies in errors. We derive partial identification results under flexible model specifications and provide additional support conditions for point identification. We demonstrate the robust finite-sample performance of our approach using Monte Carlo simulations, and apply the approach to analyze the empirical application of income categories using various ordered choice models.
- Andrews, D. W. and X. Shi (2013): “Inference based on conditional moment inequalities,” Econometrica, 81, 609–666.
- Aristodemou, E. (2021): “Semiparametric identification in panel data discrete response models,” Journal of Econometrics, 220, 253–271.
- Bonhomme, S., K. Dano, and B. S. Graham (2023): “Identification in a Binary Choice Panel Data Model with a Predetermined Covariate,” Tech. rep., National Bureau of Economic Research.
- Botosaru, I. and C. Muris (2022): “Identification of time-varying counterfactual parameters in nonlinear panel models,” arXiv preprint arXiv:2212.09193.
- Chamberlain, G. (1980): “Analysis of covariance with qualitative data,” The review of economic studies, 47, 225–238.
- ——— (1984): “Panel data,” Handbook of econometrics, 2, 1247–1318.
- ——— (2010): “Binary response models for panel data: Identification and information,” Econometrica, 78, 159–168.
- Chen, L.-Y. and S. Lee (2019): “Breaking the curse of dimensionality in conditional moment inequalities for discrete choice models,” Journal of Econometrics, 210, 482–497.
- Chernozhukov, V., H. Hong, and E. Tamer (2007): “Estimation and confidence regions for parameter sets in econometric models,” Econometrica, 75, 1243–1284.
- Chernozhukov, V., S. Lee, and A. M. Rosen (2013): “Intersection bounds: estimation and inference,” Econometrica, 81, 667–737.
- Chesher, A., A. Rosen, and Y. Zhang (2023): “Identification analysis in models with unrestricted latent variables: Fixed effects and initial conditions,” Tech. rep., Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Chesher, A. and A. M. Rosen (2017): “Generalized instrumental variable models,” Econometrica, 85, 959–989.
- ——— (2020): “Generalized instrumental variable models, methods, and applications,” in Handbook of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 7, 1–110.
- Dano, K. (2023): “Transition Probabilities and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Fixed Effects Logit Models,” Working Paper.
- Davezies, L., X. D’Haultfoeuille, and L. Laage (2021): “Identification and estimation of average marginal effects in fixed effects logit models,” arXiv preprint arXiv:2105.00879.
- Dobronyi, C., J. Gu, and K. i. Kim (2021): “Identification of Dynamic Panel Logit Models with Fixed Effects,” Working Paper.
- Gao, W. Y. and M. Li (2020): “Robust semiparametric estimation in panel multinomial choice models,” Available at SSRN 3282293.
- Honoré, B. E. and E. Kyriazidou (2000): “Panel data discrete choice models with lagged dependent variables,” Econometrica, 68, 839–874.
- Honoré, B. E., C. Muris, and M. Weidner (2021): “Dynamic ordered panel logit models,” arXiv preprint arXiv:2107.03253.
- Honoré, B. E. and E. Tamer (2006): “Bounds on parameters in panel dynamic discrete choice models,” Econometrica, 74, 611–629.
- Honoré, B. E. and M. Weidner (2020): “Moment conditions for dynamic panel logit models with fixed effects,” arXiv preprint arXiv:2005.05942.
- Khan, S., F. Ouyang, and E. Tamer (2021): “Inference on semiparametric multinomial response models,” Quantitative Economics, 12, 743–777.
- Khan, S., M. Ponomareva, and E. Tamer (2016): “Identification of panel data models with endogenous censoring,” Journal of Econometrics, 194, 57–75.
- ——— (2023): “Identification of dynamic binary response models,” Journal of Econometrics, 237, 105515.
- Manski, C. F. (1987): “Semiparametric analysis of random effects linear models from binary panel data,” Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 357–362.
- Mbakop, E. (2023): “Identification in Some Discrete Choice Models: A Computational Approach,” arXiv preprint arXiv:2305.15691.
- Pakes, A. and J. Porter (2022): “Moment Inequalities for Multinomial Choice with Fixed Effects,” forthcoming in Quantitative Economics.
- Shi, X., M. Shum, and W. Song (2018): “Estimating Semi-Parametric Panel Multinomial Choice Models Using Cyclic Monotonicity,” Econometrica, 86, 737–761.
- Shiu, J.-L. and Y. Hu (2013): “Identification and estimation of nonlinear dynamic panel data models with unobserved covariates,” Journal of Econometrics, 175, 116–131.
- Wang, R. (2022): “Semiparametric Identification and Estimation of Substitution Patterns,” Available at SSRN 4157978.