Turbulence closure modeling with machine learning approaches: A perspective

Abstract: Turbulence closure modeling using machine learning is at an early crossroads. The extraordinary success of ML in a variety of challenging fields has given rise to justifiable optimism regarding similar transformative advances in the area of turbulence closure modeling. However, by most accounts, the current rate of progress toward accurate and predictive ML-RANS (Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes) closure models has been much slower than initially projected. The slower-than-expected rate of progress can be attributed to two reasons: high initial expectations without a complete comprehension of the complexity of the turbulence phenomenon, and the use of ML techniques in a manner that may be inconsistent with turbulence physics. To do full justice to the potential of data-driven approaches in turbulence modeling, this article seeks to identify the foundational physics challenges underlying turbulence closure modeling and assess whether machine learning techniques can effectively tackle them. Drawing analogies with statistical mechanics and stochastic systems, the key physical phenomena and mathematical limitations that render turbulence closure modeling complicated are first identified. The inherent capability of ML to overcome each of the identified challenges is then investigated. The conclusions drawn highlight the limitations of ML-based closures and pave the way for a more judicious framework for the use of ML in turbulence modeling. As ML methods evolve (which is happening at a rapid pace) and our understanding of the turbulence phenomenon improves, the inferences expressed here should be suitably modified.