Papers
Topics
Authors
Recent
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Flash
169 tokens/sec
GPT-4o
7 tokens/sec
Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
45 tokens/sec
o3 Pro
4 tokens/sec
GPT-4.1 Pro
38 tokens/sec
DeepSeek R1 via Azure Pro
28 tokens/sec
2000 character limit reached

Neural networks can detect model-free static arbitrage strategies (2306.16422v2)

Published 19 Jun 2023 in q-fin.CP, cs.LG, math.OC, q-fin.MF, and stat.ML

Abstract: In this paper we demonstrate both theoretically as well as numerically that neural networks can detect model-free static arbitrage opportunities whenever the market admits some. Due to the use of neural networks, our method can be applied to financial markets with a high number of traded securities and ensures almost immediate execution of the corresponding trading strategies. To demonstrate its tractability, effectiveness, and robustness we provide examples using real financial data. From a technical point of view, we prove that a single neural network can approximately solve a class of convex semi-infinite programs, which is the key result in order to derive our theoretical results that neural networks can detect model-free static arbitrage strategies whenever the financial market admits such opportunities.

Definition Search Book Streamline Icon: https://streamlinehq.com
References (32)
  1. Acciaio, B., M. Beiglböck, F. Penkner, and W. Schachermayer (2016): “A model-free version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing and the super-replication theorem,” Mathematical Finance, 26, 233–251.
  2. Auslender, A., M. A. Goberna, and M. A. López (2009): “Penalty and smoothing methods for convex semi-infinite programming,” Mathematics of Operations Research, 34, 303–319.
  3. Bartl, D., M. Kupper, and A. Neufeld (2020): “Pathwise superhedging on prediction sets,” Finance and Stochastics, 24, 215–248.
  4. Biagini, F., L. Gonon, A. Mazzon, and T. Meyer-Brandis (2022): “Detecting asset price bubbles using deep learning,” arXiv preprint arXiv:2210.01726.
  5. Burzoni, M., M. Frittelli, Z. Hou, M. Maggis, and J. Obłój (2019): “Pointwise arbitrage pricing theory in discrete time,” Mathematics of Operations Research, 44, 1034–1057.
  6. Burzoni, M., M. Frittelli, and M. Maggis (2017): “Model-free superhedging duality,” The Annals of Applied Probability, 27, 1452 – 1477.
  7. Burzoni, M., F. Riedel, and H. M. Soner (2021): “Viability and arbitrage under Knightian uncertainty,” Econometrica, 89, 1207–1234.
  8. Cheridito, P., M. Kupper, and L. Tangpi (2017): “Duality formulas for robust pricing and hedging in discrete time,” SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 8, 738–765.
  9. Cohen, S. N., C. Reisinger, and S. Wang (2020): “Detecting and repairing arbitrage in traded option prices,” Applied Mathematical Finance, 27, 345–373.
  10. Cui, Z., W. Qian, S. Taylor, and L. Zhu (2020): “Detecting and identifying arbitrage in the spot foreign exchange market,” Quantitative Finance, 20, 119–132.
  11. Cui, Z. and S. Taylor (2020): “Arbitrage detection using max plus product iteration on foreign exchange rate graphs,” Finance Research Letters, 35, 101279.
  12. Davis, M., J. Obłój, and V. Raval (2014): “Arbitrage bounds for prices of weighted variance swaps,” Mathematical Finance, 24, 821–854.
  13. Eckstein, S., G. Guo, T. Lim, and J. Obłój (2021): “Robust pricing and hedging of options on multiple assets and its numerics,” SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 12, 158–188.
  14. Eckstein, S. and M. Kupper (2021): “Computation of optimal transport and related hedging problems via penalization and neural networks,” Applied Mathematics & Optimization, 83, 639–667.
  15. Fahim, A. and Y.-J. Huang (2016): “Model-independent superhedging under portfolio constraints,” Finance and Stochastics, 20, 51–81.
  16. Hobson, D., P. Laurence, and T.-H. Wang (2005): “Static-arbitrage optimal subreplicating strategies for basket options,” Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 37, 553–572.
  17. Hobson*, D., P. Laurence, and T.-H. Wang (2005): “Static-arbitrage upper bounds for the prices of basket options,” Quantitative finance, 5, 329–342.
  18. Hou, Z. and J. Obłój (2018): “Robust pricing–hedging dualities in continuous time,” Finance and Stochastics, 22, 511–567.
  19. Kingma, D. P. and J. Ba (2014): ‘‘Adam: A method for stochastic optimization,” arXiv preprint arXiv:1412.6980.
  20. Kozhan, R. and W. W. Tham (2012): “Execution risk in high-frequency arbitrage,” Management Science, 58, 2131–2149.
  21. Li, Y. and A. Neufeld (2023): “Quantum Monte Carlo algorithm for solving Black-Scholes PDEs for high-dimensional option pricing in finance and its proof of overcoming the curse of dimensionality,” arXiv preprint arXiv:2301.09241.
  22. Michael, E. (1956): “Continuous selections. I,” Ann. of Math. (2), 63, 361–382.
  23. Mykland, P. A. (2003): “Financial options and statistical prediction intervals,” The Annals of Statistics, 31, 1413–1438.
  24. Neufeld, A., A. Papapantoleon, and Q. Xiang (2022a): “Model-free bounds for multi-asset options using option-implied information and their exact computation,” Management Science.
  25. Neufeld, A. and J. Sester (2021): “Model-free price bounds under dynamic option trading,” SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 12, 1307–1339.
  26. ——— (2023): “A deep learning approach to data-driven model-free pricing and to martingale optimal transport,” IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, 69, 3172–3189.
  27. Neufeld, A., J. Sester, and D. Yin (2022b): “Detecting data-driven robust statistical arbitrage strategies with deep neural networks,” arXiv preprint arXiv:2203.03179.
  28. Papapantoleon, A. and P. Y. Sarmiento (2021): “Detection of arbitrage opportunities in multi-asset derivatives markets,” Dependence Modeling, 9, 439–459.
  29. Pinkus, A. (1999): “Approximation theory of the MLP model in neural networks,” Acta numerica, 8, 143–195.
  30. Riedel, F. (2015): “Financial economics without probabilistic prior assumptions,” Decisions in Economics and Finance, 38, 75–91.
  31. Soon, W. and H.-Q. Ye (2011): “Currency arbitrage detection using a binary integer programming model,” International Journal of Mathematical Education in Science and Technology, 42, 369–376.
  32. Tavin, B. (2015): “Detection of arbitrage in a market with multi-asset derivatives and known risk-neutral marginals,” Journal of Banking & Finance, 53, 158–178.

Summary

We haven't generated a summary for this paper yet.

X Twitter Logo Streamline Icon: https://streamlinehq.com

Tweets