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Learning Interaction-aware Motion Prediction Model for Decision-making in Autonomous Driving (2302.03939v1)

Published 8 Feb 2023 in cs.RO

Abstract: Predicting the behaviors of other road users is crucial to safe and intelligent decision-making for autonomous vehicles (AVs). However, most motion prediction models ignore the influence of the AV's actions and the planning module has to treat other agents as unalterable moving obstacles. To address this problem, this paper proposes an interaction-aware motion prediction model that is able to predict other agents' future trajectories according to the ego agent's future plan, i.e., their reactions to the ego's actions. Specifically, we employ Transformers to effectively encode the driving scene and incorporate the AV's plan in decoding the predicted trajectories. To train the model to accurately predict the reactions of other agents, we develop an online learning framework, where the ego agent explores the environment and collects other agents' reactions to itself. We validate the decision-making and learning framework in three highly interactive simulated driving scenarios. The results reveal that our decision-making method significantly outperforms the reinforcement learning methods in terms of data efficiency and performance. We also find that using the interaction-aware model can bring better performance than the non-interaction-aware model and the exploration process helps improve the success rate in testing.

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Authors (5)
  1. Zhiyu Huang (26 papers)
  2. Haochen Liu (40 papers)
  3. Jingda Wu (23 papers)
  4. Wenhui Huang (44 papers)
  5. Chen Lv (84 papers)
Citations (13)

Summary

Overview of the Interaction-aware Motion Prediction Model for Autonomous Driving

The paper "Learning Interaction-aware Motion Prediction Model for Decision-making in Autonomous Driving" presents an advanced framework aimed at improving decision-making capabilities in autonomous vehicles (AVs) through a novel approach to motion prediction. The core of this work is the development of an interaction-aware model that integrates the potential reactions of surrounding traffic agents to the AV's proposed maneuvers, thus addressing the common limitation of existing models which treat other road users as static obstacles.

Summary of the Methodology

The authors propose a motion prediction model that incorporates state-of-the-art techniques like Transformers for scene encoding, along with an interaction-aware decoding mechanism using a GRU-based architecture. Key to this innovation is the ability to predict the future trajectories of nearby agents with respect to the AV's own planned trajectory, thereby enabling the AV to anticipate responses from its environment.

The framework leverages the principle of online learning, where the AV explores various environments and collects practical data on how other agents react to its actions. This interaction data is stored and used to iteratively train the model, enhancing its prediction accuracy and decision-making efficacy over time.

Experimental Results

The proposed framework was validated using three intricate and interactive driving scenarios simulated in the SMARTS environment. These scenarios included navigating through unsignalized intersections, merging into traffic, and overtaking slower vehicles—all of which require nuanced prediction and adaptation to dynamic multi-agent interactions.

Empirical results underscored that the proposed decision-making method significantly surpasses traditional reinforcement learning techniques, such as PPO, SAC, and TD3, in achieving higher success rates and more efficient trajectory planning. Notably, the proposed interaction-aware model demonstrated enhanced performance over non-interaction-aware models, with substantial improvements in collision avoidance and goal attainment.

Discussion and Implications

The paper importantly highlights that incorporating interaction-awareness in motion prediction models yields substantial advantages in real-time decision-making for AVs. By considering the influence of its own actions on other road users, the AV can make more informed and safer decisions. This marks a significant step forward in achieving more adaptive and socially-compliant autonomous driving systems.

The findings have profound implications for the practical deployment of AVs, as they push the envelope towards creating systems that mimic human-like driving behaviors, thereby gaining the trust of human drivers and passengers alike. Future research could focus on further enhancing the robustness of such models under more complex traffic conditions and integrating them with higher-level routing and traffic management systems.

Conclusion

The paper contributes a comprehensively validated approach for improving decision-making in autonomous driving through interaction-aware motion predictions. While it already demonstrates strong potential in simulated environments, the transition to real-world applications remains a significant target. The framework's adaptability to dynamic traffic scenarios makes it a promising candidate for further exploration in the continued development of reliable and intelligent AV systems.