What-if Analysis for Business Users: Current Practices and Future Opportunities (2212.13643v3)
Abstract: What-if analysis (WIA), crucial for making data-driven decisions, enables users to understand how changes in variables impact outcomes and explore alternative scenarios. However, existing WIA research focuses on supporting the workflows of data scientists or analysts, largely overlooking significant non-technical users, like business users. We conduct a two-part user study with 22 business users (marketing, sales, product, and operations managers). The first study examines existing WIA techniques employed, tools used, and challenges faced. Findings reveal that business users perform many WIA techniques independently using rudimentary tools due to various constraints. We implement representative WIA techniques identified previously in a visual analytics prototype to use as a probe to conduct a follow-up study evaluating business users' practical use of the techniques. These techniques improve decision-making efficiency and confidence while highlighting the need for better support in data preparation, risk assessment, and domain knowledge integration. Finally, we offer design recommendations to enhance future business analytics systems.
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