On Statistical Modeling of Load in Systems with High Capacity Distributed Energy Resources

Abstract: The emergence of distributed energy resources has led to new challenges in the operation and planning of power networks. Of particular significance is the introduction of a new layer of complexity that manifests in the form of new uncertainties that could severely limit the resiliency and reliability of a modern power system. For example, the increasing adoption of unconventional loads such as plug-in electric vehicles can result in uncertain consumer demand patterns, which are often characterized by random undesirable peaks in energy consumption. In the first half of 2021, the electric vehicle sales increased by nearly 160%, thus accounting for roughly 26% of new sales in the global automotive market. This paper investigates the applicability of generalized mixture models for the statistical representation of aggregated load in systems enhanced with high capacity distributed energy resources such as plug-in electric vehicles.