Discovering Distribution Shifts using Latent Space Representations

Abstract: Rapid progress in representation learning has led to a proliferation of embedding models, and to associated challenges of model selection and practical application. It is non-trivial to assess a model's generalizability to new, candidate datasets and failure to generalize may lead to poor performance on downstream tasks. Distribution shifts are one cause of reduced generalizability, and are often difficult to detect in practice. In this paper, we use the embedding space geometry to propose a non-parametric framework for detecting distribution shifts, and specify two tests. The first test detects shifts by establishing a robustness boundary, determined by an intelligible performance criterion, for comparing reference and candidate datasets. The second test detects shifts by featurizing and classifying multiple subsamples of two datasets as in-distribution and out-of-distribution. In evaluation, both tests detect model-impacting distribution shifts, in various shift scenarios, for both synthetic and real-world datasets.