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The Method of Cumulants for the Normal Approximation

Published 2 Feb 2021 in math.PR | (2102.01459v2)

Abstract: The survey is dedicated to a celebrated series of quantitave results, developed by the Lithuanian school of probability, on the normal approximation for a real-valued random variable. The key ingredient is a bound on cumulants of the type $|\kappa_j(X)| \leq j!{1+\gamma} /\Delta{j-2}$, which is weaker than Cram\'er's condition of finite exponential moments. We give a self-contained proof of some of the "main lemmas" in a book by Saulis and Statulevi\v{c}ius (1989), and an accessible introduction to the Cram\'er-Petrov series. In addition, we explain relations with heavy-tailed Weibull variables, moderate deviations, and mod-phi convergence. We discuss some methods for bounding cumulants such as summability of mixed cumulants and dependency graphs, and briefly review a few recent applications of the method of cumulants for the normal approximation.

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