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Long-Horizon Visual Planning with Goal-Conditioned Hierarchical Predictors (2006.13205v2)

Published 23 Jun 2020 in cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CV, cs.RO, and stat.ML

Abstract: The ability to predict and plan into the future is fundamental for agents acting in the world. To reach a faraway goal, we predict trajectories at multiple timescales, first devising a coarse plan towards the goal and then gradually filling in details. In contrast, current learning approaches for visual prediction and planning fail on long-horizon tasks as they generate predictions (1) without considering goal information, and (2) at the finest temporal resolution, one step at a time. In this work we propose a framework for visual prediction and planning that is able to overcome both of these limitations. First, we formulate the problem of predicting towards a goal and propose the corresponding class of latent space goal-conditioned predictors (GCPs). GCPs significantly improve planning efficiency by constraining the search space to only those trajectories that reach the goal. Further, we show how GCPs can be naturally formulated as hierarchical models that, given two observations, predict an observation between them, and by recursively subdividing each part of the trajectory generate complete sequences. This divide-and-conquer strategy is effective at long-term prediction, and enables us to design an effective hierarchical planning algorithm that optimizes trajectories in a coarse-to-fine manner. We show that by using both goal-conditioning and hierarchical prediction, GCPs enable us to solve visual planning tasks with much longer horizon than previously possible.

Citations (63)

Summary

  • The paper introduces a novel goal-conditioned hierarchical prediction method that efficiently addresses the challenges of long-horizon visual planning.
  • It employs a divide-and-conquer approach with a GCP-tree structure and adaptive binding to optimize intermediate trajectory predictions.
  • Experimental results on synthetic navigation and video tasks demonstrate superior accuracy and scalability compared to baseline sequential methods.

Long-Horizon Visual Planning: Advances in Goal-Conditioned Hierarchical Predictors

The paper "Long-Horizon Visual Planning with Goal-Conditioned Hierarchical Predictors" introduces a novel framework for visual prediction and planning, primarily focusing on overcoming the limitations of existing methods in handling long-horizon tasks. The authors propose a hierarchical model that incorporates goal-conditioning, enabling agents to efficiently predict and plan sequences directly from visual observations.

Overview and Approach

The research introduces Goal-Conditioned Predictors (GCPs), a latent space model designed to enhance efficiency by concentrating on trajectories that inherently reach a predefined goal. The framework employs hierarchical prediction, where sequences are recursively subdivided, creating an efficient divide-and-conquer strategy. This hierarchical approach allows the model to break long-horizon tasks into sequential subtasks, significantly improving planning accuracy and computational efficiency.

The GCP-tree model leverages a tree-like structure where intermediate states are predicted between start and goal observations. This structure naturally supports hierarchical planning, enabling optimization of trajectories in a coarse-to-fine manner, effectively tackling the challenges posed by long time horizons. Furthermore, the model incorporates an adaptive binding mechanism that dynamically selects frames, optimizing the placement of intermediate predictions.

Results and Implications

Quantitative experiments demonstrate that the hierarchical planning framework effectively handles visual control tasks with horizons longer than those manageable by existing visual planning methods. On synthetic navigation tasks involving complex room layouts, the hierarchical model outperformed sequential approaches and established baselines, delivering higher success rates and reduced trajectory lengths. The method also scales efficiently to high-dimensional spaces such as video, outperforming state-of-the-art video interpolation methods.

Importantly, goal-conditioned hierarchical planning shows robustness across varied environments, including situations where training data is suboptimal. This adaptability suggests its applicability in scenarios where high-quality demonstrations might be scarce.

Future Directions

The hierarchical framework constitutes a significant step forward in visual planning and control, providing a robust foundation for future exploration in the domain of AI. Potential avenues for further research include extending hierarchical planning to multi-agent systems and integrating reinforcement learning techniques to refine planning under dynamic constraints.

Moreover, the exploration of adaptive binding mechanisms opens up possibilities for the discovery of bottleneck states, which could inform strategies for hierarchical task decomposition and exploration policies in complex environments. Future work could focus on optimizing the model's architectural components to further reduce computational overhead without compromising predictive accuracy.

In conclusion, this research offers substantial contributions to the field of AI-driven visual planning, setting the stage for future endeavors in efficiently handling long-horizon tasks in diverse, high-dimensional environments.

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