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Algorithmic Recourse: from Counterfactual Explanations to Interventions (2002.06278v4)

Published 14 Feb 2020 in cs.LG, cs.AI, and stat.ML

Abstract: As machine learning is increasingly used to inform consequential decision-making (e.g., pre-trial bail and loan approval), it becomes important to explain how the system arrived at its decision, and also suggest actions to achieve a favorable decision. Counterfactual explanations -- "how the world would have (had) to be different for a desirable outcome to occur" -- aim to satisfy these criteria. Existing works have primarily focused on designing algorithms to obtain counterfactual explanations for a wide range of settings. However, one of the main objectives of "explanations as a means to help a data-subject act rather than merely understand" has been overlooked. In layman's terms, counterfactual explanations inform an individual where they need to get to, but not how to get there. In this work, we rely on causal reasoning to caution against the use of counterfactual explanations as a recommendable set of actions for recourse. Instead, we propose a shift of paradigm from recourse via nearest counterfactual explanations to recourse through minimal interventions, moving the focus from explanations to recommendations. Finally, we provide the reader with an extensive discussion on how to realistically achieve recourse beyond structural interventions.

An Examination of Algorithmic Recourse: From Counterfactual Explanations to Minimal Interventions

The paper under review offers a critical reevaluation of algorithmic recourse in the context of machine learning models, particularly focusing on the limitations of counterfactual explanations and proposing a novel framework for recourse through minimal interventions (MINT). This approach is a significant departure from traditional methods that rely heavily on contrastive explanations without adequately considering the causal dependencies inherent in real-world data.

Core Arguments and Theoretical Underpinnings

The authors argue that existing methodologies centered around counterfactual explanations operate under restrictive assumptions: namely, that suggested changes in features directly translate into actionable steps without considering interdependencies among variables. They highlight scenarios where these assumptions lead to suboptimal or infeasible recommendations. Cementing their argument, the authors rely on causal modeling, notably utilizing structural causal models (SCMs) and the do-calculus framework, to address these assumptions.

The shift from counterfactual explanations towards an intervention-based framework is both conceptual and technical. While counterfactual explanations suggest how variables might have differed to achieve a different outcome, the proposed methodology emphasizes actionable interventions within the causal framework, thereby enabling individuals to pursue changes effectively with predictive confidence.

Methodology and Results

The proposed framework circumvents traditional routes by permitting the exploration of interventions as actions within SCMs. The recourse optimization problem is reformulated—moving from minimal changes in feature space to minimal interventions in causal space. By this reformulation, the authors provide recourse recommendations that are aligned with the causal realities governing the relationships between variables, hence offering a more robust and actionable path towards achieving desired model outputs.

Demonstrations on synthetic data and real-world datasets, such as the German credit dataset, exhibit this framework's superiority compared to previous approaches. These tests showcase less costly and more feasible intervention strategies by leveraging causal dependencies, markedly improving upon the previous standard of merely obtaining the nearest counterfactual.

Practical and Theoretical Implications

In practical terms, this research has profound implications for systems that impact societal and individual outcomes, such as credit scoring, bail decisions, and medical diagnoses. By ensuring that recourse strategies are grounded in realistic, causally-consistent assumptions, the framework pledges not only reduced effort for affected individuals but also enhances trust and fairness in AI-driven decision-making systems.

Theoretically, this paper provides a stepping stone towards integrating causal inference more deeply into the fabric of machine learning interpretability. It challenges the status of current methodologies, urging a reexamination of assumptions and advocating for a paradigm that respects the underlying data-generating processes.

Speculative Views on Future Directions

The approach opens new avenues for research in causally-informed machine learning. A key area for future exploration is the development of techniques for learning causal models from data when they are not explicitly available, or extending this framework to handle cases with partial or imperfect causal information. Additionally, addressing varied types of interventions—soft, hard, and even fat-hand interventions—can further refine this work's applicability.

In conclusion, the authors present a compelling critique and advancement over current algorithmic recourse methods, framing a discourse that bridges causal reasoning with machine learning interpretability. This paper invites the research community to consider how causal knowledge can permeate further aspects of AI, ensuring decision-support systems are not only interpretable but also actionable and fair.

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Authors (3)
  1. Amir-Hossein Karimi (18 papers)
  2. Bernhard Schölkopf (412 papers)
  3. Isabel Valera (46 papers)
Citations (316)
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