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The role of artificial intelligence in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (1905.00501v1)

Published 30 Apr 2019 in cs.CY and cs.AI
The role of artificial intelligence in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals

Abstract: The emergence of AI and its progressively wider impact on many sectors across the society requires an assessment of its effect on sustainable development. Here we analyze published evidence of positive or negative impacts of AI on the achievement of each of the 17 goals and 169 targets of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. We find that AI can support the achievement of 128 targets across all SDGs, but it may also inhibit 58 targets. Notably, AI enables new technologies that improve efficiency and productivity, but it may also lead to increased inequalities among and within countries, thus hindering the achievement of the 2030 Agenda. The fast development of AI needs to be supported by appropriate policy and regulation. Otherwise, it would lead to gaps in transparency, accountability, safety and ethical standards of AI-based technology, which could be detrimental towards the development and sustainable use of AI. Finally, there is a lack of research assessing the medium- and long-term impacts of AI. It is therefore essential to reinforce the global debate regarding the use of AI and to develop the necessary regulatory insight and oversight for AI-based technologies.

The Role of Artificial Intelligence in Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals

Introduction

This paper discusses the significant influence of AI on the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as outlined in the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Utilizing a comprehensive review of the literature, the researchers explore both the enabling and inhibiting effects of AI on the 17 goals and 169 targets of the Agenda. This analysis provides a balanced overview, detailing how AI can support 128 targets while potentially inhibiting 58 targets. The paper underscores the need for appropriate policy frameworks and regulations to mitigate the negative impacts of AI and to leverage its benefits.

Positive and Negative Impacts of AI on SDGs

The paper reveals that AI has the potential to act as an enabler for 76% of the targets by addressing current technological limitations. However, it may also adversely impact 34% of the targets, emphasizing the necessity for a nuanced understanding of AI's role in sustainable development.

Societal Outcomes

In the societal domain, AI can positively impact 65 out of 82 targets (79%). For instance, in SDG 1 (No Poverty), AI can help identify poverty-stricken areas through satellite imagery, thus fostering international aid. Similarly, AI can enhance educational quality (SDG 4), provide clean water and sanitation (SDG 6), and support sustainable cities (SDG 11). However, AI presents potential drawbacks such as job displacement requiring higher skill levels, and large energy demands from data centers that could exacerbate inequalities and impact SDG 13 (Climate Action). Additionally, AI technologies may reinforce existing gender and socioeconomic disparities, notably affecting SDGs 1, 4, 5, and 10.

Economic Outcomes

AI's technological advancements also hold promise for economic growth, impacting 38 out of 60 targets (63%) in this domain positively. The benefits include increased productivity and innovation across industries. Nonetheless, 19 targets (32%) face potential negative impacts. The concentration of AI capabilities in wealthier nations could widen the economic gap, impeding progress on SDGs 8 (Decent Work and Economic Growth), 9 (Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure), and 10 (Reduced Inequalities). Moreover, inherent biases in AI-powered decision-making systems can lead to unfair employment practices and increased socio-political polarization.

Environmental Outcomes

In the environmental context, 25 out of 27 targets (93%) could benefit from AI. For instance, AI can enhance climate action (SDG 13) by improving climate change modeling and supporting renewable energy systems. AI algorithms can also aid in marine pollution reduction (SDG 14) and combating desertification (SDG 15) through efficient data analysis. However, the potential for over-exploitation of resources driven by AI capabilities poses a significant risk.

Research Gaps and Future Implications

The review identifies notable research gaps in understanding AI's long-term impacts on sustainable development. Many AI applications have been tested in controlled environments; real-world evaluations remain sparse. The authors call for novel evaluation methods to assess AI technologies' efficiency, ethics, and sustainability before large-scale deployments. The disparity in research focus, favoring issues pertinent to developed nations, further indicates the need for a diversified approach to AI application in less wealthy regions.

Towards Sustainable AI

The paper suggests that AI has immense potential to advance the SDGs, but this potential must be managed with robust policies and regulation. The absence of suitable frameworks risks exacerbating existing inequalities and biases. Policymakers need to gain sufficient understanding to formulate insightful regulations. Furthermore, standardizations on transparency, accountability, and ethical AI application are crucial. The authors argue for an inclusive global debate to develop shared principles ensuring AI benefits all nations and contributes positively towards the SDGs.

Conclusion

This research highlights the indispensable role AI could play in achieving the SDGs while recognizing the critical need for governance structures that mitigate risks. Future AI developments must circumvent the pitfalls of inequalities and biases by fostering an inclusive global dialogue and prioritizing ethical considerations. The potential and risks identified call for strategic alignment of AI advancements with the overarching goals of sustainable development.

This essay provides a comprehensive, academic summary of the paper, emphasizing measurable impacts and the dual-edged nature of AI in sustainable development, suitable for an expert audience.

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Authors (10)
  1. Ricardo Vinuesa (95 papers)
  2. Hossein Azizpour (40 papers)
  3. Iolanda Leite (29 papers)
  4. Madeline Balaam (3 papers)
  5. Virginia Dignum (22 papers)
  6. Sami Domisch (1 paper)
  7. Anna Felländer (2 papers)
  8. Simone Langhans (1 paper)
  9. Max Tegmark (133 papers)
  10. Francesco Fuso Nerini (3 papers)
Citations (1,251)