The Local Randomization Framework for Regression Discontinuity Designs: A Review and Some Extensions (1810.02761v3)

Abstract: Regression discontinuity designs (RDDs) are a common quasi-experiment in economics and statistics. The most popular methodologies for analyzing RDDs utilize continuity-based assumptions and local polynomial regression, but recent works have developed alternative assumptions based on local randomization. The local randomization framework avoids modeling assumptions by instead placing assumptions on the assignment mechanism near the cutoff. However, most works have focused on completely randomized assignment mechanisms, which posit that propensity scores are equal for all units near the cutoff. In our review of the local randomization framework, we extend the framework to allow for any assignment mechanism, such that propensity scores may differ. We outline randomization tests that can be used to select a window around the cutoff where a particular assignment mechanism is most plausible, as well as methodologies for estimating causal effects after a window and assignment mechanism are chosen. We apply our methodology to a fuzzy RDD assessing the effects of financial aid on college dropout rates in Italy. We find that positing different assignment mechanisms within a single RDD can provide more nuanced sensitivity analyses as well as more precise inferences for causal effects.