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Quantum computing for finance: overview and prospects (1807.03890v2)

Published 10 Jul 2018 in quant-ph

Abstract: We discuss how quantum computation can be applied to financial problems, providing an overview of current approaches and potential prospects. We review quantum optimization algorithms, and expose how quantum annealers can be used to optimize portfolios, find arbitrage opportunities, and perform credit scoring. We also discuss deep-learning in finance, and suggestions to improve these methods through quantum machine learning. Finally, we consider quantum amplitude estimation, and how it can result in a quantum speed-up for Monte Carlo sampling. This has direct applications to many current financial methods, including pricing of derivatives and risk analysis. Perspectives are also discussed.

Citations (442)

Summary

  • The paper presents a systematic evaluation of quantum algorithms that improve portfolio optimization, arbitrage, and credit scoring in finance.
  • The study demonstrates how quantum machine learning models can accelerate risk analysis and enhance predictive capabilities compared to classical methods.
  • The paper highlights the use of quantum Monte Carlo techniques, such as Quantum Amplitude Estimation, to achieve faster and more accurate derivative pricing and risk assessments.

Overview of Quantum Computing Applications in Finance

The paper "Quantum computing for finance: overview and prospects" presents a comprehensive analysis of the emerging role of quantum computing within the finance sector. The authors, Román Orús, Samuel Mugel, and Enrique Lizaso, focus on how various quantum algorithms may potentially revolutionize financial computations and analytics. The manuscript systematically assesses three fundamental areas where quantum computing is expected to bring substantial benefits: optimization problems, machine learning applications, and Monte Carlo simulations.

Quantum Optimization in Finance

This section highlights the application of quantum annealing, particularly utilizing adiabatic quantum computation for portfolio optimization, arbitrage opportunities, and credit scoring. The ability of quantum optimization to tackle NP-Hard problems with increased efficiency is stressed. For example, the D-Wave quantum annealer has been employed to solve small-scale instances of complex trading trajectory problems, demonstrating performance comparable to classical solutions. Similarly, the paper describes potential use cases such as identifying optimal arbitrage and feature selection for credit scoring, emphasizing how quantum approaches may lead to significant improvements in both precision and computation time.

Quantum Machine Learning (QML) and Its Potential Impact

The paper outlines the potential advantages quantum machine learning (QML) could provide in scenarios where traditional machine learning methods are computationally intensive. Emphasis is placed on the enhancement of classic algorithms through quantum classifiers, regression models, and principal component analysis. These algorithms could be rendered more efficient via quantum computing capabilities, promising exponential speedups over classical counterparts for specific tasks, such as matrix diagonalization. Moreover, the text suggests that as quantum technologies develop further, neural networks trained on quantum platforms might unlock new potential in financial predictions and risk analysis.

Quantum Monte Carlo and Risk Analysis

A detailed explanation is given on how quantum algorithms like Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) can yield quadratic speedups in Monte Carlo simulations. This has practical implications in several financial applications, including pricing derivatives and conducting risk analyses via Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) calculations. The capability of quantum computers to perform these calculations more rapidly could lead to faster and more reliable forecasting and risk management processes, thus transforming the way financial institutions operate.

Challenges and Future Outlook

While the prospects presented are compelling, the paper also acknowledges the substantial engineering challenges that exist in achieving scalable and fault-tolerant quantum computing. The authors are optimistic about the potential near-term applications of Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) processors, which could provide meaningful results even in current imperfect quantum systems. Moreover, they suggest intense research efforts aimed at optimizing algorithms and hardware to overcome existing obstacles.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the paper provides an extensive survey of the current and future role of quantum computing in finance, assessing theoretical advancements, practical implementations, and the significant implications for the financial industry. While expecting quantum computing to usher in a new era for financial technology, the authors also urge a cautious and research-driven approach to understanding the exact capabilities and limitations as technological development progresses. This balanced perspective offers a critical resource for researchers and practitioners looking to navigate the intersection of quantum computing and finance.

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