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Can co-location be used as a proxy for face-to-face contacts? (1712.06346v1)

Published 18 Dec 2017 in physics.soc-ph, cs.SI, and q-bio.PE

Abstract: Technological advances have led to a strong increase in the number of data collection efforts aimed at measuring co-presence of individuals at different spatial resolutions. It is however unclear how much co-presence data can inform us on actual face-to-face contacts, of particular interest to study the structure of a population in social groups or for use in data-driven models of information or epidemic spreading processes. Here, we address this issue by leveraging data sets containing high resolution face-to-face contacts as well as a coarser spatial localisation of individuals, both temporally resolved, in various contexts. The co-presence and the face-to-face contact temporal networks share a number of structural and statistical features, but the former is (by definition) much denser than the latter. We thus consider several down-sampling methods that generate surrogate contact networks from the co-presence signal and compare them with the real face-to-face data. We show that these surrogate networks reproduce some features of the real data but are only partially able to identify the most central nodes of the face-to-face network. We then address the issue of using such down-sampled co-presence data in data-driven simulations of epidemic processes, and in identifying efficient containment strategies. We show that the performance of the various sampling methods strongly varies depending on context. We discuss the consequences of our results with respect to data collection strategies and methodologies.

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Authors (2)
  1. Mathieu Génois (20 papers)
  2. Alain Barrat (67 papers)
Citations (203)

Summary

Evaluation of Co-Location as a Proxy for Face-to-Face Contacts

The paper "Can co-location be used as a proxy for face-to-face contacts?" explores the potential of using co-location data as a surrogate for face-to-face interaction networks, which are crucial for understanding social structures or informing models on information or epidemic spread. Using datasets offering both fine-grained face-to-face contact data and coarser spatial localization, the paper evaluates the degree to which co-location data can replicate the network properties and dynamics of in-person contacts.

The authors employ several datasets across diverse contexts, including workplaces, schools, and conferences, to derive their conclusions. Importantly, the research underscores that co-presence networks, by necessity, exhibit greater density compared to face-to-face networks due to the broader spatial criteria defining co-location. This inherent disparity raises questions about the efficacy of using such data directly for accurate contact mapping.

In an attempt to reconcile these differences, the paper introduces several down-sampling techniques applied to co-location data to simulate face-to-face networks. Although these methods partially mimic certain statistical features of actual contact networks, they fail to consistently identify the key nodes (central nodes) within the network, which are critical for intervention strategies in the context of epidemic spread.

The paper's simulations of epidemic processes using the SIR model further illustrate context-dependent outcomes. The surrogate contact networks derived from co-location data demonstrated varying accuracy in replicating epidemic spread and informing containment strategies. The outcomes from surrogate data sometimes mirrored real contact data; however, the alignment was not universally applicable across all datasets or contexts.

Key Findings

  1. Density Disparities: Co-location networks are considerably denser than face-to-face contact networks, which limits their direct application as substitutes.
  2. Partial Feature Approximation: Down-sampled surrogate contact networks partly replicate statistical properties of face-to-face networks but do not reliably identify influential nodes.
  3. Context-Dependent Surrogacy: The effectiveness of co-location data as a surrogate for face-to-face contacts and its applicability to epidemic simulations is highly context-dependent.
  4. Simulation Accuracy: The surrogate networks exhibit varied performance in predicting the outcome of epidemic simulations, with no single sampling method emerging as universally applicable.

Implications and Future Directions

From a practical standpoint, these findings emphasize the limitations of using coarse co-location data in place of precise face-to-face interactions, highlighting the necessity for high-resolution data collection for accurate modeling of social interactions and disease spread dynamics. The variability in results concerning epidemic modeling implies that reliance on co-location data could lead to suboptimal strategic decisions unless supplemented by high-resolution contact data.

Theoretically, the paper contributes to the discourse on data-driven modeling by examining the challenges posed by spatial resolution in interaction data. Future research may focus on refining hybrid data-collection approaches that integrate both fine-grained spatial data and broader co-location metrics to enhance the robustness of network representations and simulations.

In summary, while the potential of co-location data as a stand-in for face-to-face contact networks is promising under specific conditions, further methodological advancements are necessary to mitigate its inherent limitations and ensure accurate cross-contextual application in network science and epidemiology.