Scalable Collaborative Targeted Learning for High-Dimensional Data (1703.02237v1)

Abstract: Robust inference of a low-dimensional parameter in a large semi-parametric model relies on external estimators of infinite-dimensional features of the distribution of the data. Typically, only one of the latter is optimized for the sake of constructing a well behaved estimator of the low-dimensional parameter of interest. Optimizing more than one of them for the sake of achieving a better bias-variance trade-off in the estimation of the parameter of interest is the core idea driving the general template of the collaborative targeted minimum loss-based estimation (C-TMLE) procedure. The original implementation/instantiation of the C-TMLE template can be presented as a greedy forward stepwise C-TMLE algorithm. It does not scale well when the number $p$ of covariates increases drastically. This motivates the introduction of a novel instantiation of the C-TMLE template where the covariates are pre-ordered. Its time complexity is $\mathcal{O}(p)$ as opposed to the original $\mathcal{O}(p^2)$, a remarkable gain. We propose two pre-ordering strategies and suggest a rule of thumb to develop other meaningful strategies. Because it is usually unclear a priori which pre-ordering strategy to choose, we also introduce another implementation/instantiation called SL-C-TMLE algorithm that enables the data-driven choice of the better pre-ordering strategy given the problem at hand. Its time complexity is $\mathcal{O}(p)$ as well. The computational burden and relative performance of these algorithms were compared in simulation studies involving fully synthetic data or partially synthetic data based on a real world large electronic health database; and in analyses of three real, large electronic health databases. In all analyses involving electronic health databases, the greedy C-TMLE algorithm is unacceptably slow. Simulation studies indicate our scalable C-TMLE and SL-C-TMLE algorithms work well.