Multi-scale modeling of animal movement and general behavior data using hidden Markov models with hierarchical structures (1702.03597v1)

Abstract: Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are commonly used to model animal movement data and infer aspects of animal behavior. An HMM assumes that each data point from a time series of observations stems from one of $N$ possible states. The states are loosely connected to behavioral modes that manifest themselves at the temporal resolution at which observations are made. However, due to advances in tag technology, data can be collected at increasingly fine temporal resolutions. Yet, inferences at time scales cruder than those at which data are collected, and which correspond to larger-scale behavioral processes, are not yet answered via HMMs. We include additional hierarchical structures to the basic HMM framework in order to incorporate multiple Markov chains at various time scales. The hierarchically structured HMMs allow for behavioral inferences at multiple time scales and can also serve as a means to avoid coarsening data. Our proposed framework is one of the first that models animal behavior simultaneously at multiple time scales, opening new possibilities in the area of animal movement modeling. We illustrate the application of hierarchically structured HMMs in two real-data examples: (i) vertical movements of harbor porpoises observed in the field, and (ii) garter snake movement data collected as part of an experimental design.