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Solving the Optimal Trading Trajectory Problem Using a Quantum Annealer (1508.06182v3)

Published 22 Aug 2015 in q-fin.CP, cs.DS, math.OC, q-fin.PM, and quant-ph

Abstract: We solve a multi-period portfolio optimization problem using D-Wave Systems' quantum annealer. We derive a formulation of the problem, discuss several possible integer encoding schemes, and present numerical examples that show high success rates. The formulation incorporates transaction costs (including permanent and temporary market impact), and, significantly, the solution does not require the inversion of a covariance matrix. The discrete multi-period portfolio optimization problem we solve is significantly harder than the continuous variable problem. We present insight into how results may be improved using suitable software enhancements, and why current quantum annealing technology limits the size of problem that can be successfully solved today. The formulation presented is specifically designed to be scalable, with the expectation that as quantum annealing technology improves, larger problems will be solvable using the same techniques.

Citations (161)

Summary

  • The paper presents a novel approach to solving the complex discrete multi-period optimal trading trajectory problem by employing a D-Wave quantum annealer.
  • It investigates various integer encoding schemes essential for mapping the problem onto the quantum annealer and reports strong numerical results with high success rates for specific configurations.
  • The research highlights the potential of quantum annealing for tackling challenging financial optimization problems like discrete portfolio optimization, suggesting future advancements could profoundly impact computational finance.

Quantum Annealing and Portfolio Optimization

The paper "Solving the Optimal Trading Trajectory Problem Using a Quantum Annealer" by Rosenberg et al. addresses a complex financial problem—multi-period portfolio optimization—through the novel application of quantum annealing technology. This investigation aligns with ongoing research interests in the efficacy of quantum computing methodologies over traditional computational approaches in solving non-convex, challenging optimization problems present in finance.

Summary of Contributions

The authors approach the optimal trading trajectory problem by employing D-Wave Systems' quantum annealer, targeting the discrete multi-period version of the problem, which is inherently more difficult than its continuous counterpart. Notably, the solution does not necessitate the inversion of potentially degenerate or ill-conditioned covariance matrices, thus circumventing some of the conventional computational challenges. The discrete nature of the problem particularly applies to scenarios involving block trading or illiquid assets where institutional investors might face premium constraints on odd lots.

Several integer encoding schemes, including binary, unary, sequential, and partitioning encodings, are discussed for transforming asset holdings into binary forms suitable for quantum annealing. This transformation is essential as it allows quantum annealers to efficiently handle representations and constraints integral to the optimization problem. The paper reveals strong numerical results, exhibiting high success rates for specific configurations despite the device limitations, and highlights areas where software enhancements significantly improve outcomes.

Implications and Future Directions

Quantum annealing presents notable implications both theoretical and practical. From a theoretical standpoint, quantum annealers provide a different paradigm for approaching NP-complete problems like discrete portfolio optimization, with potential improvements in optimization solved through quantum effects such as tunneling. Practically, as technology advances—in hardware density, noise reduction, and qubit yield—the scalability and accuracy of quantum annealing solutions could profoundly influence computational finance, potentially offering robust solutions to previously intractable problems.

Furthermore, the exploration of quantum annealers for portfolio optimization and related risk management problems could lead to innovative algorithmic strategies that may outperform classical heuristics. There is speculation that as quantum computing facilities broaden their application range, exploration into trade execution problems and other areas of high-frequency trading or complex financial modeling will continue.

Conclusion

This paper represents a compelling intersection of quantum computing and financial optimization, demonstrating that while current quantum annealing technologies are limited in scope, they hold promise for efficiently solving complex discrete financial problems as capabilities mature. Both the methodology and experimental results encourage expanded research and development, fostering collaboration between computational physicists, finance theorists, and quantum technology researchers. As quantum annealing progresses, the financial industry may witness substantial changes in risk assessment, portfolio management, and broader economic modeling methodologies.