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Rao-Blackwellised Particle Filtering for Dynamic Bayesian Networks (1301.3853v1)

Published 16 Jan 2013 in cs.LG, cs.AI, and stat.CO

Abstract: Particle filters (PFs) are powerful sampling-based inference/learning algorithms for dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs). They allow us to treat, in a principled way, any type of probability distribution, nonlinearity and non-stationarity. They have appeared in several fields under such names as "condensation", "sequential Monte Carlo" and "survival of the fittest". In this paper, we show how we can exploit the structure of the DBN to increase the efficiency of particle filtering, using a technique known as Rao-Blackwellisation. Essentially, this samples some of the variables, and marginalizes out the rest exactly, using the Kalman filter, HMM filter, junction tree algorithm, or any other finite dimensional optimal filter. We show that Rao-Blackwellised particle filters (RBPFs) lead to more accurate estimates than standard PFs. We demonstrate RBPFs on two problems, namely non-stationary online regression with radial basis function networks and robot localization and map building. We also discuss other potential application areas and provide references to some finite dimensional optimal filters.

Citations (1,464)

Summary

  • The paper introduces a RBPF approach that integrates sampling with analytical marginalization to reduce dimensionality in state estimation.
  • It demonstrates substantial efficiency improvements in high-dimensional dynamic Bayesian networks through sequential importance sampling, resampling, and MCMC steps.
  • Applications in online regression and robot localization illustrate the practical benefits of RBPFs in real-time adaptive systems.

Rao-Blackwellised Particle Filtering for Dynamic Bayesian Networks

The paper "Rao-Blackwellised Particle Filtering for Dynamic Bayesian Networks" by Doucet, de Freitas, Murphy, and Russell, addresses significant improvements in the domain of particle filters (PFs) for dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs). PFs, also known as sequential Monte Carlo methods, are sampling-based algorithms widely employed for state estimation in nonlinear and non-Gaussian dynamic models. Despite their flexibility, PFs suffer from high computational complexity, particularly in models with high-dimensional state spaces. The authors propose leveraging Rao-Blackwellisation to increase the efficiency and accuracy of PFs.

Key Contributions

Introduction of Rao-Blackwellised Particle Filters (RBPFs)

The essence of RBPFs lies in partitioning the hidden state variables of a DBN into two sets: one that is estimated through sampling (using PFs) and another that is marginalized out analytically. Marginalization can be accomplished using any finite-dimensional optimal filter such as the Kalman filter, HMM filter, or junction tree algorithm. This partitioning drastically reduces the number of samples required, thereby enhancing the computational efficiency of the algorithm.

  1. Improvement in PF Efficiency: RBPFs mitigate the inefficiency of high-dimensional sampling in PFs by reducing the dimensionality over which sampling is performed. This reduction is achieved by analytically integrating out parts of the state space.
  2. Application to Complex DBNs: The authors extend the theoretical framework of RBPFs, providing a general algorithm applicable to various DBN scenarios.

Algorithmic Details

The RBPF algorithm can be summarized in three sequential steps:

  1. Sequential Importance Sampling:
    • Samples are drawn from a proposal distribution, which may incorporate current observations to improve efficiency.
    • Importance weights are assigned to these samples to correct for the proposal distribution.
  2. Selection (Resampling):
    • A resampling step is performed to focus computational resources on significant particles, thus avoiding degeneracy in the sample population.
  3. MCMC Step:
    • To counteract the loss of diversity due to resampling, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) step is introduced to ensure better exploration of the state space.

These steps collectively help in maintaining a representative sample population while bypassing the curse of dimensionality.

Practical Illustrations

Online Regression with RBF Networks

The paper demonstrates the efficacy of RBPFs through the example of non-stationary online regression using Radial Basis Function (RBF) networks. The model parameters, including the number of basis functions and their positions, are treated as latent variables. The results showcased the ability of RBPFs to adapt to changes in model characteristics over time, maintaining accurate predictions and parameter estimates.

Robot Localization and Map Building

Another key application discussed is robot localization and simultaneous map building. Here, the robot has to maintain a belief over its position and the environment map, both of which are estimated incrementally. RBPFs are employed to infer the robot's trajectory and concurrently update the map with considerably fewer particles compared to conventional PFs. This application underlines the utility of RBPFs in dynamic environments where continuous adaptation is necessary.

Implications and Future Directions

The practical implications of this research are vast. By enhancing the efficiency of PFs through Rao-Blackwellisation, RBPFs pave the way for real-time applications in robotics, computer vision, and tracking systems. The theoretically grounded reduction in variance of importance weights ensures more accurate state estimates, which is critical in high-stakes environments such as autonomous navigation and probabilistic inference in AI-driven systems.

Theoretically, these contributions enrich the understanding of efficient sampling in high-dimensional spaces and offer a robust methodology for partitioning state variables within DBNs. Future work might explore automated methods for determining optimal partitions of state variables for Rao-Blackwellisation.

Conclusion

The paper presents a compelling enhancement to the traditional particle filtering approach by integrating Rao-Blackwellisation. Through meticulous algorithmic development and rigorous application, it convincingly demonstrates the benefits of RBPFs. This advancement holds substantial promise for various applications in AI and dynamic system tracking, setting a solid foundation for further research and development in the field.