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Inferring land use from mobile phone activity (1207.1115v1)

Published 3 Jul 2012 in stat.ML, cs.LG, physics.data-an, and physics.soc-ph

Abstract: Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of people within a city is crucial to many planning applications. Obtaining data to create required knowledge, currently involves costly survey methods. At the same time ubiquitous mobile sensors from personal GPS devices to mobile phones are collecting massive amounts of data on urban systems. The locations, communications, and activities of millions of people are recorded and stored by new information technologies. This work utilizes novel dynamic data, generated by mobile phone users, to measure spatiotemporal changes in population. In the process, we identify the relationship between land use and dynamic population over the course of a typical week. A machine learning classification algorithm is used to identify clusters of locations with similar zoned uses and mobile phone activity patterns. It is shown that the mobile phone data is capable of delivering useful information on actual land use that supplements zoning regulations.

Citations (318)

Summary

  • The paper demonstrates that mobile phone data can reveal distinct temporal activity patterns in urban zones through dynamic land use classification.
  • It employs a random forest algorithm on Boston’s anonymized CDRs mapped over a 200m grid to achieve scalable urban analysis.
  • The study finds improved classification accuracy when excluding residential areas, underscoring the need for refined data processing and additional data sources.

Inferring Land Use from Mobile Phone Activity

This paper investigates the potential of using mobile phone data to classify land use within urban zones. Recognizing the limitations and costs associated with traditional survey-based methods for capturing human mobility and land use information, the authors explore the capabilities of mobile phone data, specifically Call Detail Records (CDR), to provide a dynamic and scalable alternative.

Methodology and Data

The research centers on the application of a machine learning approach, leveraging random forest algorithms, to classify urban areas based on mobile phone activity patterns. The paper utilizes anonymized CDRs from the Boston metropolitan area, encompassing data from approximately 600,000 mobile users. These records provide insights into user location through triangulation, offering a finer spatial resolution than traditional cell tower-based measurements.

The zoning data for the Boston area is categorized into five main classes: Residential, Commercial, Industrial, Parks, and Other. To facilitate the analysis, both the zoning and mobile activity data are projected onto a uniform grid of 200 by 200 meters. This spatial discretization is essential for reducing noise and ensuring compatibility between datasets.

Results and Implications

The key finding of the paper is the correlation between mobile phone activity and known land use patterns, shown through the circadian rhythm observed in the data. The research identifies that different zones exhibit distinct temporal activity patterns. For instance, residential areas show higher activity during the early morning and late evening, while commercial zones peak during typical 9-to-5 business hours.

Despite leveraging supervised learning, the overall classification accuracy remains modest, particularly when including residential zones, which comprise the majority of the land use. When residential areas are excluded, the classification accuracy for the remaining categories improves significantly.

The paper highlights several limitations, including the potential discrepancy between official zoning classifications and actual land use. The constraints of the mobile phone data, such as noise and the heterogeneity in mobile phone usage, also pose challenges to accurate land use inference.

Conclusion and Future Research Directions

The paper suggests that mobile phone data holds promise for dynamic land use classification, offering a cost-effective and scalable alternative to traditional survey methods. However, it acknowledges the need for enhanced data processing methodologies and the incorporation of additional data sources, such as Points of Interest (POIs), to improve accuracy and comprehensiveness.

Future research could focus on integrating longer time series data to reduce noise and enable finer temporal resolution analysis. Moreover, exploring unsupervised learning approaches or hybrid models could yield further insights into urban dynamics. The paper also suggests that mobile phone data might serve as a valuable tool for urban planners to gauge actual land usage and inform strategic decisions, potentially redefining zoning practices in response to real-world activities.

Overall, this research sets a foundation for utilizing mobile technologies in urban computing and planning, anticipating further developments that could significantly enhance computational social science and urban informatics.