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Probabilistic Theorem Proving (1202.3724v1)

Published 14 Feb 2012 in cs.AI

Abstract: Many representation schemes combining first-order logic and probability have been proposed in recent years. Progress in unifying logical and probabilistic inference has been slower. Existing methods are mainly variants of lifted variable elimination and belief propagation, neither of which take logical structure into account. We propose the first method that has the full power of both graphical model inference and first-order theorem proving (in finite domains with Herbrand interpretations). We first define probabilistic theorem proving, their generalization, as the problem of computing the probability of a logical formula given the probabilities or weights of a set of formulas. We then show how this can be reduced to the problem of lifted weighted model counting, and develop an efficient algorithm for the latter. We prove the correctness of this algorithm, investigate its properties, and show how it generalizes previous approaches. Experiments show that it greatly outperforms lifted variable elimination when logical structure is present. Finally, we propose an algorithm for approximate probabilistic theorem proving, and show that it can greatly outperform lifted belief propagation.

Citations (218)

Summary

  • The paper introduces a new framework that reduces probabilistic theorem proving to a lifted weighted model counting problem, boosting inference efficiency.
  • It integrates first-order logic with graphical model techniques, achieving exponential speed-ups compared to traditional methods.
  • Empirical evaluations demonstrate significant runtime and memory gains, establishing the approach as a scalable solution for complex AI reasoning tasks.

Probabilistic Theorem Proving: An Integration of Logic and Probabilistic Inference

The paper "Probabilistic Theorem Proving" by Vibhav Gogate and Pedro Domingos introduces a method that unifies first-order logic and probabilistic inference in computational reasoning—a longstanding goal in the AI community. The proposed framework, termed Probabilistic Theorem Proving (PTP), effectively combines the strengths of graphical model inference and first-order theorem proving within finite domains, leveraging Herbrand interpretations.

Framework and Methodology

The paper establishes PTP as the task of computing the probability of a logical formula given a set of formulas along with their respective probabilities or weights. The innovation here lies in reducing PTP to a problem of lifted weighted model counting, providing a more efficient inference mechanism compared to existing methods such as lifted variable elimination and belief propagation. The authors extend previous work on weighted model counting to the first-order level and introduce a corresponding algorithm capable of dealing with logical structures more effectively. This advancement allows PTP to successfully exploit both lifting and logical structure, exhibiting standard theorem proving and graphical model inference as particular instances within its framework.

Theoretical and Empirical Insights

The authors provide theoretical proof of this algorithm’s correctness and demonstrate its efficiency through complex inferences. They show that their PTP algorithm is exponentially more efficient than first-order variable elimination in scenarios where logical structure is prominent. Furthermore, they present an approximate version of the algorithm based on Monte Carlo methods and illustrate that this approach significantly outperforms lifted belief propagation in many cases.

Experimental Results

Empirical evaluations reveal that the PTP method adapts to inference tasks involving various logical complexities, speeding up computation in domains with extensive logical structure by effectively using unit propagation and lifted decomposition. The experiments conducted exhibit strong performance across a spectrum of parameterized conditions and problem sizes, with PTP providing noticeable performance gains in both runtime and memory usage over FOVE and other lifted inference methods.

Implications and Future Research

The advent of PTP signifies a step forward in the integration of probabilistic graphical models and logic programming. By bridging these domains, AI systems can reason more flexibly and efficiently about complex relational structures under uncertainty. As potential future directions, the authors suggest extending the development to support infinite domains, non-Herbrand interpretations, and the handling of richer logical formulations with existential quantifications, among others.

PTP not only provides a robust framework for probabilistic logic but also paves the way for more comprehensive and scalable reasoning algorithms. Researchers can leverage these insights to advance AI applications that require sophisticated reasoning capabilities beyond the limitations of traditional propositional logic and simplistic probabilistic models.